College Football Playoff Qualifiers (2026-27)

Kalshi Football › College football Closes Dec 29 · $17.5K today · $1.2M traded · $748K at stake · prices read 34 min ago

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The odds

98%Georgia
  • Georgia98%
  • Notre Dame96%▲ 2
  • Alabama95%
  • Miami (FL)90%▲ 1
  • Indiana85%▼ 2
  • Utah84%▼ 1
  • Texas78%
  • UCLA76%
  • Tennessee47%▲ 1
  • Ole Miss31%▲ 1
  • New Mexico31%▲ 3
  • Texas Tech30%▼ 1
45 more
  • LSU28%▼ 2
  • Iowa28%▲ 2
  • BYU27%▼ 2
  • Oregon26%▲ 1
  • Kentucky24%▲ 3
  • USC22%▲ 1
  • Ohio St.14%▲ 1
  • Houston14%▼ 1
  • South Carolina12%▲ 1
  • SMU8%▼ 1
  • Arizona8%▲ 1
  • Oklahoma St.7%▲ 1
  • Louisville5%▲ 1
  • North Texas5%▼ 1
  • Baylor4%▲ 1
  • Missouri4%
  • Wisconsin3%▲ 2
  • James Madison2%
  • Auburn2%▲ 1
  • Clemson2%
  • Virginia Tech2%
  • Illinois1%▼ 1
  • Texas A&M1%
  • Oklahoma1%
  • Michigan1%
  • Penn St.1%
  • Florida1%▼ 1
  • Washington1%
  • Virginia1%
  • Vanderbilt1%
  • Florida St.1%
  • Arkansas1%
  • Georgia Tech1%
  • Pittsburgh1%
  • Kansas St.1%
  • California1%
  • TCU1%
  • Arizona St.1%
  • North Carolina St.1%
  • Tulane1%
  • Miami (OH)1%
  • Mississippi St.1%
  • Western Michigan1%
  • UMass1%
  • Oregon St.1%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Georgia: 86% on Oct 20, 98% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 31, 11 PM ETGeorgia: 85% → 92%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Georgia 98% 97¢ 99¢ $1.01 40.4K
Notre Dame 96% ▲ 2 95¢ 97¢ $1.03 160.5K
Alabama 95% 94¢ 95¢ $1.05 122.3K
Miami (FL) 90% ▲ 1 89¢ 91¢ $1.10 46.9K
Indiana 85% ▼ 2 84¢ 86¢ $1.16 51.8K
Utah 84% ▼ 1 83¢ 85¢ $1.18 97.0K
Texas 78% 77¢ 78¢ $1.28 119.8K
UCLA 76% 75¢ 76¢ $1.32 107.8K
Tennessee 47% ▲ 1 46¢ 48¢ $2.08 33.5K
Ole Miss 31% ▲ 1 30¢ 31¢ $3.23 133.7K
New Mexico 31% ▲ 3 29¢ 32¢ $3.13 13.2K
Texas Tech 30% ▼ 1 29¢ 31¢ $3.23 77.1K
LSU 28% ▼ 2 27¢ 29¢ $3.45 1.0M
Iowa 28% ▲ 2 27¢ 28¢ $3.57 119.4K
BYU 27% ▼ 2 26¢ 28¢ $3.57 59.8K
Oregon 26% ▲ 1 25¢ 27¢ $3.70 68.4K
Kentucky 24% ▲ 3 23¢ 25¢ $4.00 33.6K
USC 22% ▲ 1 20¢ 23¢ $4.35 114.8K
Ohio St. 14% ▲ 1 14¢ 15¢ $6.67 162.1K
Houston 14% ▼ 1 14¢ 15¢ $6.67 22.4K
South Carolina 12% ▲ 1 11¢ 13¢ $7.69 210.9K
SMU 8% ▼ 1 7¢ 9¢ $11.11 32.9K
Arizona 8% ▲ 1 6¢ 10¢ $10.00 22.0K
Oklahoma St. 7% ▲ 1 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 83.9K
Louisville 5% ▲ 1 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 23.6K
North Texas 5% ▼ 1 4¢ 6¢ $16.67 11.5K
Baylor 4% ▲ 1 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 4.4K
Missouri 4% 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 25.1K
Wisconsin 3% ▲ 2 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 31.1K
James Madison 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 50.0K
Auburn 2% ▲ 1 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 28.4K
Clemson 2% 3¢ $33.33 19.4K
Virginia Tech 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 36.0K
Illinois 1% ▼ 1 2¢ $50.00 12.9K
Texas A&M 1% 1¢ $100.00 45.0K
Oklahoma 1% 1¢ $100.00 123.8K
Michigan 1% 1¢ $100.00 141.1K
Penn St. 1% 1¢ $100.00 118.8K
Florida 1% ▼ 1 1¢ $100.00 86.6K
Washington 1% 1¢ $100.00 11.2K
Virginia 1% 1¢ $100.00 40.3K
Vanderbilt 1% 1¢ $100.00 5.3K
Florida St. 1% 1¢ $100.00 16.0K
Arkansas 1% 1¢ $100.00 5.5K
Georgia Tech 1% 1¢ $100.00 11.8K
Pittsburgh 1% 1¢ $100.00 14.7K
Kansas St. 1% 1¢ $100.00 12.5K
California 1% 1¢ $100.00 18.2K
TCU 1% 1¢ $100.00 6.5K
Arizona St. 1% 1¢ $100.00 4.7K
North Carolina St. 1% 1¢ $100.00 2.8K
Tulane 1% 1¢ $100.00 8.3K
Miami (OH) 1% 1¢ $100.00 3.0K
Mississippi St. 1% 1¢ $100.00 14.0K
Western Michigan 1% 1¢ $100.00 402
UMass 1% 1¢ $100.00 5.3K
Oregon St. 1% ▼ 1 1¢ $100.00 46.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: College Football Playoff Qualifiers, Notre Dame

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Football. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Football, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Football index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Football Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions