College Football Playoff Quarterfinals Qualifiers (2026-27)

Kalshi Football › College football Closes Jan 31, 2027 · $1.1K today · $91.5K traded · $79.8K at stake · prices read 34 min ago

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The odds

88%Notre Dame
  • Notre Dame88%▲ 11
  • Georgia86%
  • Miami (FL)84%▲ 4
  • Indiana75%▲ 6
  • Alabama68%▲ 3
  • Utah59%▲ 14
  • Texas48%▼ 4
  • Tennessee47%▲ 21
  • Kentucky27%▲ 9
  • Ole Miss20%▲ 3
  • Iowa20%▲ 6
  • Clemson18%▲ 14
35 more
  • LSU17%▼ 3
  • Texas Tech15%▲ 1
  • USC15%▲ 3
  • Oklahoma St.14%▲ 10
  • Pittsburgh12%▲ 9
  • SMU11%▲ 7
  • Houston11%▲ 5
  • Oregon11%▲ 5
  • Ohio St.10%
  • Virginia Tech8%▲ 4
  • Louisville7%▲ 2
  • South Carolina7%▲ 2
  • Oklahoma5%▲ 2
  • Missouri5%
  • BYU5%▼ 10
  • Florida3%▼ 2
  • Vanderbilt3%▼ 1
  • Georgia Tech3%▼ 1
  • Kansas St.3%▼ 1
  • TCU3%▼ 1
  • North Carolina St.3%▼ 1
  • North Texas3%▼ 2
  • Tulane3%▼ 1
  • Baylor2%▼ 2
  • California2%▼ 2
  • Michigan2%
  • Penn St.1%
  • Auburn1%
  • Washington1%
  • Virginia1%
  • Florida St.1%
  • Arkansas1%
  • James Madison1%
  • Miami (OH)1%
  • Texas A&M1%

How the odds have moved

Notre Dame: 78% on Oct 20, 88% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 6, 11 PM ETNotre Dame: 69% → 61%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Nov 4, 11 PM ETNotre Dame: 77% → 70%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Notre Dame 88% ▲ 11 87¢ 89¢ $1.12 6.8K
Georgia 86% 85¢ 86¢ $1.16 3.8K
Miami (FL) 84% ▲ 4 81¢ 87¢ $1.15 4.8K
Indiana 75% ▲ 6 71¢ 79¢ $1.27 1.6K
Alabama 68% ▲ 3 66¢ 70¢ $1.43 9.0K
Utah 59% ▲ 14 52¢ 67¢ $1.49 3.2K
Texas 48% ▼ 4 44¢ 52¢ $1.92 5.4K
Tennessee 47% ▲ 21 27¢ 38¢ $2.63 2.9K
Kentucky 27% ▲ 9 19¢ 32¢ $3.13 129
Ole Miss 20% ▲ 3 17¢ 23¢ $4.35 1.8K
Iowa 20% ▲ 6 9¢ 34¢ $2.94 1.0K
Clemson 18% ▲ 14 22¢ $4.55 10.00
LSU 17% ▼ 3 16¢ 17¢ $5.88 377.6K
Texas Tech 15% ▲ 1 13¢ 17¢ $5.88 3.0K
USC 15% ▲ 3 9¢ 30¢ $3.33 2.3K
Oklahoma St. 14% ▲ 10 2¢ 34¢ $2.94 689
Pittsburgh 12% ▲ 9 20¢ $5.00 20.00
SMU 11% ▲ 7 1¢ 14¢ $7.14 1.3K
Houston 11% ▲ 5 4¢ 20¢ $5.00 95.00
Oregon 11% ▲ 5 9¢ 12¢ $8.33 1.7K
Ohio St. 10% 9¢ 11¢ $9.09 5.1K
Virginia Tech 8% ▲ 4 15¢ $6.67 12.00
Louisville 7% ▲ 2 1¢ 14¢ $7.14 98.00
South Carolina 7% ▲ 2 2¢ 12¢ $8.33 190
Oklahoma 5% ▲ 2 25¢ $4.00 1.3K
Missouri 5% 10¢ $10.00 28.00
BYU 5% ▼ 10 8¢ 21¢ $4.76 2.7K
Florida 3% ▼ 2 15¢ $6.67 2.6K
Vanderbilt 3% ▼ 1 6¢ $16.67 40.00
Georgia Tech 3% ▼ 1 6¢ $16.67
Kansas St. 3% ▼ 1 6¢ $16.67 66.00
TCU 3% ▼ 1 6¢ $16.67 20.00
North Carolina St. 3% ▼ 1 6¢ $16.67
North Texas 3% ▼ 2 6¢ $16.67 227
Tulane 3% ▼ 1 6¢ $16.67
Baylor 2% ▼ 2 1¢ 25¢ $4.00 5.00
California 2% ▼ 2 1¢ 16¢ $6.25 2.1K
Michigan 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 5.3K
Penn St. 1% 2¢ $50.00 1.4K
Auburn 1% 2¢ $50.00 1.1K
Washington 1% 2¢ $50.00 529
Virginia 1% 2¢ $50.00 309
Florida St. 1% 2¢ $50.00 595
Arkansas 1% 2¢ $50.00 426
James Madison 1% 2¢ $50.00 897
Miami (OH) 1% 2¢ $50.00
Texas A&M 1% 1¢ $100.00 1.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: College Football Playoff Quarterfinals Qualifiers, Notre Dame

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Football. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Football, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Football index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Football Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions