College Football Playoff Semifinals Qualifiers (2026-27)

Kalshi Football › College football Closes Feb 7, 2027 · $174 today · $77.8K traded · $66.3K at stake · prices read 34 min ago

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The odds

70%Georgia
  • Georgia70%▲ 2
  • Notre Dame53%▲ 1
  • Miami (FL)46%▲ 2
  • Alabama45%▲ 1
  • Indiana38%
  • Texas28%▼ 7
  • Utah20%▼ 2
  • Iowa20%
  • Tennessee14%▼ 5
  • LSU11%
  • Oregon9%▼ 1
  • Ole Miss8%▲ 5
38 more
  • USC8%▲ 1
  • BYU7%
  • Kentucky7%▼ 1
  • South Carolina7%▲ 2
  • Ohio St.6%
  • Texas Tech5%▼ 1
  • Missouri4%▼ 1
  • Florida4%
  • SMU4%▼ 1
  • Arizona4%
  • Oklahoma St.4%
  • Houston4%
  • Oklahoma4%
  • Michigan4%
  • Clemson4%
  • Pittsburgh4%
  • Louisville3%▲ 1
  • Florida St.3%
  • Georgia Tech3%
  • Kansas St.3%▼ 1
  • Baylor3%▲ 1
  • California3%
  • Illinois3%
  • TCU3%
  • Virginia Tech3%
  • Arizona St.3%
  • North Carolina St.3%
  • North Texas3%▲ 1
  • Tulane3%
  • Miami (OH)3%
  • Penn St.2%
  • Texas A&M1%
  • Auburn1%
  • Washington1%
  • Virginia1%
  • Vanderbilt1%
  • Arkansas1%
  • James Madison1%

How the odds have moved

Georgia: 51% on Oct 20, 70% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 7, 11 PM ETGeorgia: 58% → 64%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Georgia 70% ▲ 2 67¢ 73¢ $1.37 9.4K
Notre Dame 53% ▲ 1 50¢ 55¢ $1.82 10.2K
Miami (FL) 46% ▲ 2 43¢ 48¢ $2.08 6.3K
Alabama 45% ▲ 1 42¢ 48¢ $2.08 4.5K
Indiana 38% 33¢ 42¢ $2.38 6.5K
Texas 28% ▼ 7 24¢ 31¢ $3.23 13.9K
Utah 20% ▼ 2 18¢ 22¢ $4.55 1.1K
Iowa 20% 1¢ 12¢ $8.33 95.00
Tennessee 14% ▼ 5 9¢ 19¢ $5.26 405
LSU 11% 8¢ 13¢ $7.69 482.6K
Oregon 9% ▼ 1 7¢ 10¢ $10.00 7.8K
Ole Miss 8% ▲ 5 5¢ 11¢ $9.09 3.6K
USC 8% ▲ 1 3¢ 12¢ $8.33 451
BYU 7% 4¢ 10¢ $10.00 3.6K
Kentucky 7% ▼ 1 3¢ 11¢ $9.09 495
South Carolina 7% ▲ 2 2¢ 11¢ $9.09 397
Ohio St. 6% 5¢ 6¢ $16.67 33.2K
Texas Tech 5% ▼ 1 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 4.4K
Missouri 4% ▼ 1 8¢ $12.50 4.00
Florida 4% 8¢ $12.50 818
SMU 4% ▼ 1 8¢ $12.50 214
Arizona 4% 8¢ $12.50
Oklahoma St. 4% 8¢ $12.50 27.00
Houston 4% 8¢ $12.50
Oklahoma 4% 7¢ $14.29 3.6K
Michigan 4% 7¢ $14.29 5.5K
Clemson 4% 7¢ $14.29 27.00
Pittsburgh 4% 7¢ $14.29 40.00
Louisville 3% ▲ 1 6¢ $16.67
Florida St. 3% 6¢ $16.67 11.00
Georgia Tech 3% 6¢ $16.67
Kansas St. 3% ▼ 1 6¢ $16.67
Baylor 3% ▲ 1 6¢ $16.67
California 3% 6¢ $16.67
Illinois 3% 6¢ $16.67 20.00
TCU 3% 6¢ $16.67
Virginia Tech 3% 6¢ $16.67
Arizona St. 3% 6¢ $16.67
North Carolina St. 3% 6¢ $16.67
North Texas 3% ▲ 1 6¢ $16.67
Tulane 3% 6¢ $16.67
Miami (OH) 3% 6¢ $16.67
Penn St. 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.7K
Texas A&M 1% 2¢ $50.00 785
Auburn 1% 2¢ $50.00 30.00
Washington 1% 2¢ $50.00 380
Virginia 1% 2¢ $50.00 100
Vanderbilt 1% 2¢ $50.00
Arkansas 1% 2¢ $50.00 166
James Madison 1% 2¢ $50.00 372

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: College Football Playoff Semifinals Qualifiers, Notre Dame

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Football. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Football, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Football index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Football Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions