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College Football Playoff Semifinals Qualifiers (2026-27)
The odds
- Georgia70%▲ 2
- Notre Dame53%▲ 1
- Miami (FL)46%▲ 2
- Alabama45%▲ 1
- Indiana38%
- Texas28%▼ 7
- Utah20%▼ 2
- Iowa20%
- Tennessee14%▼ 5
- LSU11%
- Oregon9%▼ 1
- Ole Miss8%▲ 5
38 more
- USC8%▲ 1
- BYU7%
- Kentucky7%▼ 1
- South Carolina7%▲ 2
- Ohio St.6%
- Texas Tech5%▼ 1
- Missouri4%▼ 1
- Florida4%
- SMU4%▼ 1
- Arizona4%
- Oklahoma St.4%
- Houston4%
- Oklahoma4%
- Michigan4%
- Clemson4%
- Pittsburgh4%
- Louisville3%▲ 1
- Florida St.3%
- Georgia Tech3%
- Kansas St.3%▼ 1
- Baylor3%▲ 1
- California3%
- Illinois3%
- TCU3%
- Virginia Tech3%
- Arizona St.3%
- North Carolina St.3%
- North Texas3%▲ 1
- Tulane3%
- Miami (OH)3%
- Penn St.2%
- Texas A&M1%
- Auburn1%
- Washington1%
- Virginia1%
- Vanderbilt1%
- Arkansas1%
- James Madison1%
How the odds have moved
Georgia: 51% on Oct 20, 70% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 7, 11 PM ETGeorgia: 58% → 64%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 70% | ▲ 2 | 67¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 9.4K |
| Notre Dame | 53% | ▲ 1 | 50¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 10.2K |
| Miami (FL) | 46% | ▲ 2 | 43¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 6.3K |
| Alabama | 45% | ▲ 1 | 42¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 4.5K |
| Indiana | 38% | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 6.5K | |
| Texas | 28% | ▼ 7 | 24¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 13.9K |
| Utah | 20% | ▼ 2 | 18¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 1.1K |
| Iowa | 20% | 1¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 95.00 | |
| Tennessee | 14% | ▼ 5 | 9¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 405 |
| LSU | 11% | 8¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 482.6K | |
| Oregon | 9% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 7.8K |
| Ole Miss | 8% | ▲ 5 | 5¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 3.6K |
| USC | 8% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 451 |
| BYU | 7% | 4¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 3.6K | |
| Kentucky | 7% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 495 |
| South Carolina | 7% | ▲ 2 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 397 |
| Ohio St. | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 33.2K | |
| Texas Tech | 5% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 4.4K |
| Missouri | 4% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | $12.50 | 4.00 | |
| Florida | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 818 | ||
| SMU | 4% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | $12.50 | 214 | |
| Arizona | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| Oklahoma St. | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 27.00 | ||
| Houston | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| Oklahoma | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 3.6K | ||
| Michigan | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 5.5K | ||
| Clemson | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 27.00 | ||
| Pittsburgh | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 40.00 | ||
| Louisville | 3% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Florida St. | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 11.00 | ||
| Georgia Tech | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| Kansas St. | 3% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Baylor | 3% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| California | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| Illinois | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 20.00 | ||
| TCU | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| Virginia Tech | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| Arizona St. | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| North Carolina St. | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| North Texas | 3% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Tulane | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| Miami (OH) | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| Penn St. | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.7K | |
| Texas A&M | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 785 | ||
| Auburn | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 30.00 | ||
| Washington | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 380 | ||
| Virginia | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 100 | ||
| Vanderbilt | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | |||
| Arkansas | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 166 | ||
| James Madison | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 372 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: College Football Playoff Semifinals Qualifiers, Notre Dame
Search ›- Notre Dame fends off Miami as another No. 1 team falls againCJ Carr threw for 319 yards and three touchdowns, and No. 4 Notre Dame avenged its most damaging loss from last season by running out to a 21-point lead and holding on to beat No. 1 Miami 31-24 on Saturday night. Micah Gilbert caught two…
- No. 4 Notre Dame holds off No. 1 Miami 31-24 in top five showdownNovember 7, 2026 / 11:27 PM EST / CBS Texas CJ Carr threw for 319 yards and three touchdowns, and No. 4 Notre Dame avenged its most damaging loss from last season by running out to a 21-point lead and holding on to beat No. 1 Miami 31-24…
- Marcus Freeman, Notre Dame silence doubters by knocking off top-ranked Miami, solidifying their CFP ranking"There are no dominant teams in college football. There's no juggernaut out there. Like this time a year ago, you really could tell Indiana was legitimate, that they were a powerhouse." After spending five days as the No. 1 team in the…
- Notre Dame Hit With 2 Crushing Injury Blows Hours Before Kickoff vs. MiamiNov 07, 2026 at 06:01 PM EST Notre Dame will be without two key players in its big matchup against Miami. According to ESPN's Pete Thamel, defensive linemen Francis Brewu and Jason Onye have been ruled doubtful after being considered…
- Another No 1 falls as Notre Dame hold off Miami to shake up college football playoff raceCarr throws for 319 yards and three TDs in 31-24 win No 4 Irish avenge loss that cost them playoff berth Miami comeback falls short after disputed late call CJ Carr threw for 319 yards and three touchdowns as No 4 Notre Dame avenged their…
- Miami vs. Notre Dame prediction, line, picks: Primetime heavyweight blockbusterTwo things are true about Miami. It deserves to be the No. 1 team in the country, but it is also deserving of plenty of skepticism. The Hurricanes have yet to lose a game this season, but two of their last three wins have been…
- Notre Dame leprechaun drills $500K ‘College GameDay’ kick — before student wins $1 millionMaybe it’s time to change the statue’s name from Touchdown Jesus to Field Goal Jesus. Two successful field goals were made in Pat McAfee’s weekly field-goal kicking contest on “College GameDay” on Saturday morning at Notre Dame, including…
- Notre Dame holds off No. 1 Miami 31-24 behind CJ Carr's 3 TDsMicah Gilbert caught two of those scoring passes, Jordan Faison had the other and Nolan James Jr. had a rushing score for Notre Dame (8-1, No. 11 College Football Playoff), which came into the game knowing another loss to Miami could doom…
- REACTION: Notre Dame Outlasts Miami For Statement Win | HQ CFB Stream of General VideosUNLV Rebels meet Wyoming Cowboys at Allegiant Stadium. UNLV relies on scoring from a 31-24 victory on Nov 1, while Wyoming counts on defensive takeaways after recovering three fumbles in a 28-14 win on Oct 24 to claim a Mountain West…
- Notre Dame gets two blue-chip commitments during visit weekendNotre Dame has been recruiting well, and now they’re pulling in players from areas they normally don’t — which is huge. - Notre Dame gets two blue-chip commitments during visit weekend 2028 EDGE Asa Burch Commits To The University Of Notre…
- Peoria Notre Dame boys win IHSA Class 2A state soccer championshipROCKFORD — Records litter the latest Peoria Notre Dame boys soccer state championship. Those records underscore a program taking its place in the IHSA history books with a legacy well-earned. The Irish beat Crystal Lake South, 1-0, to win…
- GAME THREAD: Miami Hurricanes at Notre Dame Fighting IrishWelcome to another Miami Hurricanes game day everyone! Your Miami Hurricanes are back in action for the Game of the Year. This is the game everyone has had circled since the schedule was announced. GameDay is there. ACC Kickoff is there…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Football. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Football, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Football index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Football Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions