NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

Polymarket Football › College football Closes Dec 26 · $5.8K today · $563K traded · $98.4K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

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The odds

26%Jeremiah Smith
  • Jeremiah Smith26%▲ 6
  • Darian Mensah25%▼ 1
  • CJ Carr24%▼ 5
  • Drew Mestemaker5%
  • Gunner Stockton4%
  • LaNorris Sellers3%▲ 2
  • Jesse Legree3%▲ 2
  • Jayden Maiava3%▲ 2
  • Keelon Russell2%
  • Trinidad Chambliss1%
  • Sam Leavitt1%
  • Julian Sayin1%
20 more
  • Kevin Jennings1%
  • Josh Hoover1%
  • Kewan Lacy1%
  • Arch Manning1%
  • Malachi Toney1%
  • Ahmad Hardy1%
  • Bo Jackson<1%
  • Dante Moore<1%
  • John Mateer<1%
  • Rocco Becht<1%
  • Will Hammond<1%
  • Austin Mack<1%
  • Brendan Sorsby<1%
  • Marcel Reed<1%
  • Byrum Brown<1%
  • Bryce Underwood<1%
  • Demond Williams Jr.<1%
  • Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele<1%
  • Kamario Taylor<1%
  • Jadan Baugh<1%

How the odds have moved

Jeremiah Smith: 45% on Oct 20, 26% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 9, 11 PM ETJeremiah Smith: 21% → 26%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Nov 4, 11 PM ETJeremiah Smith: 23% → 36%
  3. Oct 31, 11 PM ETJeremiah Smith: 42% → 24%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Jeremiah Smith 26% ▲ 6 26¢ 28¢ $3.57 $442K
Darian Mensah 25% ▼ 1 25¢ 27¢ $3.70 $33.9K
CJ Carr 24% ▼ 5 24¢ 25¢ $3.97 $12K
Drew Mestemaker 5% 4¢ 6¢ $16.13 $1.2K
Gunner Stockton 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.41 $1.7K
LaNorris Sellers 3% ▲ 2 1¢ 5¢ $19.23 $4.5K
Jesse Legree 3% ▲ 2 0¢ 6¢ $17.54 $150
Jayden Maiava 3% ▲ 2 0¢ 5¢ $19.61 $1.2K
Keelon Russell 2% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 $7.2K
Trinidad Chambliss 1% 0¢ 2¢ $47.62 $8K
Sam Leavitt 1% 0¢ 2¢ $43.48 $3.1K
Julian Sayin 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 $2.2K
Kevin Jennings 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 $2K
Josh Hoover 1% 0¢ 2¢ $55.56 $817
Kewan Lacy 1% 0¢ 2¢ $62.50 $568
Arch Manning 1% 0¢ 1¢ $90.91 $1.8K
Malachi Toney 1% 0¢ 1¢ $90.91 $11.5K
Ahmad Hardy 1% 0¢ 1¢ $90.91 $275
Bo Jackson <1% 0¢ 1¢ $327
Dante Moore <1% 0¢ 0¢ $19.8K
John Mateer <1% 0¢ 0¢ $861
Rocco Becht <1% 0¢ 0¢ $752
Will Hammond <1% 0¢ 0¢ $588
Austin Mack <1% 0¢ 0¢ $866
Brendan Sorsby <1% 0¢ 0¢ $961
Marcel Reed <1% 0¢ $818
Byrum Brown <1% 0¢ $676
Bryce Underwood <1% 0¢ $2.1K
Demond Williams Jr. <1% 0¢ $395
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele <1% 0¢ $847
Kamario Taylor <1% 0¢ $50
Jadan Baugh <1% 0¢ $50

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Heisman, NCAA Football, Heisman Award

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Football. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Football, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Football index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Football Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions