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NCAA Football: Team to Make National Championship
The odds
- Georgia47%▲ 3
- Notre Dame33%▲ 1
- Alabama27%▲ 3
- Miami (FL)22%
- Indiana17%
- Utah17%▲ 4
- Texas16%
- Tennessee8%▲ 7
- LSU7%
- USC6%▲ 1
- Kentucky6%
- Oregon5%
38 more
- Houston5%
- Texas Tech5%
- Iowa4%
- Ole Miss4%▼ 2
- BYU4%▼ 1
- Michigan4%▼ 1
- Missouri4%
- Oklahoma St.4%
- SMU3%
- Auburn3%▼ 1
- South Carolina3%
- Florida St.3%
- Georgia Tech3%
- Illinois3%
- Pittsburgh3%
- Vanderbilt3%▼ 1
- North Carolina St.3%▼ 1
- TCU3%
- Ohio St.3%▲ 1
- Louisville3%▼ 1
- Texas A&M3%
- Virginia Tech3%
- Kansas St.3%
- Penn St.2%
- Arkansas2%▼ 1
- Tulane2%
- Arizona2%
- North Texas2%
- Washington2%▼ 1
- Miami (OH)2%
- Arizona St.2%▼ 2
- James Madison2%
- California2%
- Baylor2%
- Oklahoma2%
- Clemson2%
- Virginia2%▼ 1
- Florida1%
How the odds have moved
Georgia: 30% on Oct 20, 47% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 7, 11 PM ETGeorgia: 36% → 44%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 47% | ▲ 3 | 46¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | $5.5K |
| Notre Dame | 33% | ▲ 1 | 31¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | $8.2K |
| Alabama | 27% | ▲ 3 | 25¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | $2.2K |
| Miami (FL) | 22% | 21¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | $7.9K | |
| Indiana | 17% | 15¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | $1.3K | |
| Utah | 17% | ▲ 4 | 14¢ | 19¢ | $5.15 | $175 |
| Texas | 16% | 15¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | $1.9K | |
| Tennessee | 8% | ▲ 7 | 6¢ | 10¢ | $9.62 | $126 |
| LSU | 7% | 5¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | $2.1K | |
| USC | 6% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 8¢ | $12.82 | $1.8K |
| Kentucky | 6% | 5¢ | 7¢ | $15.15 | $1.1K | |
| Oregon | 5% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | $730 | |
| Houston | 5% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | $613 | |
| Texas Tech | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $15.38 | $615 | |
| Iowa | 4% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $17.86 | $643 | |
| Ole Miss | 4% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | 5¢ | $21.28 | $2.1K |
| BYU | 4% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | $1.6K |
| Michigan | 4% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $23.26 | $967 |
| Missouri | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $17.24 | $469 | |
| Oklahoma St. | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $21.74 | $488 | |
| SMU | 3% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | $394 | |
| Auburn | 3% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | $3K |
| South Carolina | 3% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $19.61 | $570 | |
| Florida St. | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | $1K | |
| Georgia Tech | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $27.78 | $1.1K | |
| Illinois | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | $1.6K | |
| Pittsburgh | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | $720 | |
| Vanderbilt | 3% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | $989 |
| North Carolina St. | 3% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $27.78 | $2K |
| TCU | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $28.57 | $1K | |
| Ohio St. | 3% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | $2.2K |
| Louisville | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | $862 |
| Texas A&M | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | $1.4K | |
| Virginia Tech | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $27.78 | $1.9K | |
| Kansas St. | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | $1.2K | |
| Penn St. | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | $553 | |
| Arkansas | 2% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | $1.2K |
| Tulane | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | $106 | |
| Arizona | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | $90 | |
| North Texas | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | $86 | |
| Washington | 2% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $37.04 | $713 |
| Miami (OH) | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | $101 | |
| Arizona St. | 2% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $27.78 | $1.1K |
| James Madison | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $30.30 | $1.6K | |
| California | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | $1.2K | |
| Baylor | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | $88 | |
| Oklahoma | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $32.26 | $1.4K | |
| Clemson | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $872 | |
| Virginia | 2% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 3¢ | $37.04 | $955 |
| Florida | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $45.45 | $1.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NCAA Football, Make National, Notre Dame
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- Notre Dame Warned It Could Be ‘Toast’ After First CFP RankingsNov 04, 2026 at 12:06 PM EST The first College Football Playoff rankings of the 2026 season dropped on Tuesday night, and they've put Notre Dame in a precarious position heading into one of the biggest games of the year. Despite holding a…
- Why Notre Dame Sits Seven Spots Behind Indiana in College Football Playoff RankingsThe Notre Dame Fighting Irish entered the first College Football Playoff rankings at No. 11 despite boasting a 7-1 record, seven spots behind the one-loss Indiana Hoosiers at No. 4. CFP selection committee chairman Hunter Yurachek…
- CFP rankings: Notre Dame faces sudden death, SEC feeling, and Big Ten close to hitting the panic buttonThe College Football Playoffs are set to expand from 12 to 24 teams starting next season, and Craig Carton asked former Heisman trophy finalist and CFB analyst Ryan Leaf his take on the change. Judging by the chaos we have already seen…
- Breaking down Notre Dame’s ranking in the first CFP Poll of 2026Notre Dame football found out on Tuesday night what the College Football Playoff committee thinks of them, and it wasn't pretty. The Irish were ranked as the No. 11 team, which means they'd be in right now, but with that stop comes plenty…
- Notre Dame Got One Clear Message From the College Football Playoff CommitteeAcross the past six weeks, college athletics powers have been trying to put the final touches on the College Football Playoff’s expansion to 24 teams beginning in 2027. Why would Bevacqua be so eager to ensure the bracket goes to 24 by…
- Hurricanes’ No. 1 CFP spot may hide a problem Notre Dame can attackThe Miami Hurricanes (8-0) opened at No. 1 in the College Football Playoff selection committee's first rankings Tuesday night with one win over a team in its Top 25, a 33-20 result at the No. 16 Wake Forest Demon Deacons on Sept. 18…
- Josh Pate to CFP No. 11 Notre Dame: 'Beat Miami or you're not going to the playoff'Yahoo Sports Josh Pate breaks down Notre Dame landing at No. 11 in the first playoff rankings, far below their AP ranking. He explains how the committee separated team quality from resume, why rankings can't simply mirror power ratings…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Football. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Football, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Football index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Football Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions