NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds

Polymarket Football › College football Closes Dec 20 · $926 today · $72.3K traded · $18.1K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

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The odds

80%Georgia
  • Georgia80%▲ 17
  • Notre Dame72%▼ 3
  • Miami (FL)62%▼ 1
  • Indiana46%▼ 3
  • Alabama24%▼ 25
  • Utah18%
  • Texas12%▼ 2
  • Ohio St.12%▼ 12
  • BYU11%▼ 2
  • Texas Tech9%▼ 4
  • Tennessee8%▼ 2
  • Ole Miss7%▲ 1
38 more
  • USC7%▲ 1
  • Arizona6%▼ 1
  • Louisville5%
  • Kentucky5%
  • Missouri5%
  • Michigan5%
  • Virginia Tech4%▲ 1
  • Houston4%
  • South Carolina4%
  • Arizona St.4%
  • Oregon4%
  • California4%
  • Kansas St.4%
  • Baylor4%
  • Florida4%
  • SMU4%
  • James Madison4%
  • Pittsburgh4%
  • TCU4%
  • Virginia4%
  • Clemson4%
  • Washington3%
  • LSU3%▼ 1
  • Vanderbilt3%
  • Iowa3%
  • Tulane3%▼ 1
  • Arkansas3%
  • Florida St.3%
  • Georgia Tech3%
  • Miami (OH)3%
  • North Carolina St.3%
  • North Texas3%
  • Illinois3%
  • Oklahoma2%▼ 3
  • Auburn2%▼ 1
  • Penn St.2%
  • Texas A&M2%
  • Oklahoma St.1%

How the odds have moved

Georgia: 63% on Oct 20, 80% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 8, 11 PM ETGeorgia: 47% → 69%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 25, 11 PM ETGeorgia: 49% → 55%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  3. Oct 23, 11 PM ETGeorgia: 74% → 59%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Georgia 80% ▲ 17 67¢ 92¢ $1.09 $2.2K
Notre Dame 72% ▼ 3 63¢ 80¢ $1.25 $7.4K
Miami (FL) 62% ▼ 1 60¢ 63¢ $1.59 $5.2K
Indiana 46% ▼ 3 44¢ 47¢ $2.13 $5.7K
Alabama 24% ▼ 25 12¢ 35¢ $2.86 $349
Utah 18% 5¢ 32¢ $3.11 $883
Texas 12% ▼ 2 3¢ 21¢ $4.76 $3K
Ohio St. 12% ▼ 12 3¢ 20¢ $5.08 $3.4K
BYU 11% ▼ 2 9¢ 13¢ $7.69 $991
Texas Tech 9% ▼ 4 6¢ 12¢ $8.33 $8.1K
Tennessee 8% ▼ 2 5¢ 11¢ $9.09 $682
Ole Miss 7% ▲ 1 5¢ 9¢ $11.11 $1.3K
USC 7% ▲ 1 6¢ 8¢ $12.50 $597
Arizona 6% ▼ 1 3¢ 8¢ $11.90 $40
Louisville 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.71 $1.6K
Kentucky 5% 3¢ 7¢ $13.89 $160
Missouri 5% 4¢ 6¢ $16.67 $300
Michigan 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 $652
Virginia Tech 4% ▲ 1 3¢ 6¢ $17.54 $120
Houston 4% 2¢ 7¢ $14.71 $240
South Carolina 4% 4¢ 5¢ $21.74 $320
Arizona St. 4% 3¢ 6¢ $17.86 $225
Oregon 4% 3¢ 6¢ $17.54 $1.7K
California 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.13 $420
Kansas St. 4% 3¢ 5¢ $18.52 $850
Baylor 4% 2¢ 6¢ $17.86 $580
Florida 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.13 $481
SMU 4% 3¢ 5¢ $21.28 $1K
James Madison 4% 3¢ 5¢ $21.28 $800
Pittsburgh 4% 2¢ 5¢ $20.41 $1.1K
TCU 4% 2¢ 6¢ $17.86 $182
Virginia 4% 2¢ 6¢ $17.86 $180
Clemson 4% 2¢ 5¢ $20.83 $230
Washington 3% 1¢ 6¢ $17.86 $710
LSU 3% ▼ 1 1¢ 6¢ $16.95 $6.2K
Vanderbilt 3% 1¢ 6¢ $18.18 $594
Iowa 3% 1¢ 6¢ $17.54 $450
Tulane 3% ▼ 1 1¢ 5¢ $19.61 $540
Arkansas 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.83 $100
Florida St. 3% 1¢ 5¢ $19.23 $420
Georgia Tech 3% 1¢ 5¢ $19.23 $420
Miami (OH) 3% 1¢ 5¢ $19.23 $540
North Carolina St. 3% 1¢ 5¢ $19.23 $914
North Texas 3% 1¢ 5¢ $21.28 $1.2K
Illinois 3% 1¢ 5¢ $21.28 $420
Oklahoma 2% ▼ 3 1¢ 4¢ $27.03 $557
Auburn 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 3¢ $34.48 $280
Penn St. 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 $1.3K
Texas A&M 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 $5.8K
Oklahoma St. 1% 1¢ 1¢ $100.00 $751

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: CFB Playoff Top Seeds, NCAA Football, Notre Dame

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Football. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Football, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Football index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Football Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions