Comeback Player of the Year Winner? (2026-27 season)

Kalshi Football › NFL Closes Feb 21, 2028 · $5.9K today · $242K traded · $169K at stake · prices read 34 min ago

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The odds

53%Patrick Mahomes
  • Patrick Mahomes53%▲ 1
  • Tank Dell20%▲ 5
  • Malik Nabers8%▲ 3
  • Fred Warner6%▲ 4
  • George Kittle3%▲ 1
  • Joe Burrow3%
  • Deshaun Watson3%▲ 2
  • Micah Parsons1%▲ 1
  • Travis Hunter1%▲ 1
  • Kirk Cousins1%
  • Kyler Murray<1%
  • Daniel Jones<1%
9 more
  • Nick Bosa<1%
  • Tucker Kraft<1%
  • Jonathon Brooks<1%
  • Michael Penix Jr.<1%▼ 1
  • Tie/Co-Winners<1%
  • Aaron Donald<1%
  • Geno Smith<1%
  • Brock Bowers<1%
  • Cam Skattebo<1%

How the odds have moved

Patrick Mahomes: 64% on Oct 20, 53% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 7, 11 PM ETPatrick Mahomes: 51% → 60%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 27, 11 PM ETPatrick Mahomes: 51% → 44%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Patrick Mahomes 53% ▲ 1 53¢ 54¢ $1.85 264.1K
Tank Dell 20% ▲ 5 20¢ 21¢ $4.76 196.3K
Malik Nabers 8% ▲ 3 8¢ 9¢ $11.11 191.1K
Fred Warner 6% ▲ 4 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 185.1K
George Kittle 3% ▲ 1 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 73.7K
Joe Burrow 3% 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 215.2K
Deshaun Watson 3% ▲ 2 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 212.4K
Micah Parsons 1% ▲ 1 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 101.8K
Travis Hunter 1% ▲ 1 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 129.6K
Kirk Cousins 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 159.0K
Kyler Murray <1% 1¢ $100.00 158.3K
Daniel Jones <1% 1¢ $100.00 100.4K
Nick Bosa <1% 1¢ $100.00 22.0K
Tucker Kraft <1% 1¢ $100.00 84.9K
Jonathon Brooks <1% 1¢ $100.00 27.8K
Michael Penix Jr. <1% ▼ 1 1¢ $100.00 147.4K
Tie/Co-Winners <1% 1¢ $100.00 73.2K
Aaron Donald <1% 1¢ $100.00 220.9K
Geno Smith <1% 1¢ $100.00 26.0K
Brock Bowers <1% 1¢ $100.00 42.9K
Cam Skattebo <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Comeback Player, Patrick Mahomes, Tank Dell

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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  • Jayden Daniels Total Passing Yards 125+65%
  • Antonio Williams Total Receptions 2+63%
  • Malik Nabers Total Receiving Yards 30+62%
  • Isaiah Likely Total Receiving Yards 20+62%
  • Isaiah Likely Total Receptions 3+61%
  • Chig Okonkwo Total Receiving Yards 15+60%
  • Austin Ekeler Total Rushing Yards 10+60%
  • 1st Quarter Washington Commanders +1.559%
  • Theo Johnson Total Receptions 1+59%
  • Malik Nabers Total Receptions 4+58%
  • Antonio Williams Total Receiving Yards 15+58%
  • Jayden Daniels Total Rushing Yards 15+58%
  • Jayden Daniels Total Passing Yards 150+57%
  • Isaiah Likely Total Receiving Yards 25+56%
  • Antonio Williams Total Receiving Yards 20+56%
  • Stefon Diggs Total Receiving Yards 20+56%
  • Rachaad White Total Rushing Yards 20+55%
  • Antonio Williams Total Receptions 4+54%
  • 1st Quarter Under 7.553%
  • Malik Nabers Total Receiving Yards 40+53%
  • 1st Half Washington Commanders +1.552%
  • Stefon Diggs Total Receptions 3+52%
  • Malachi Fields Total Receiving Yards 10+52%
  • New York Giants Total Points Under 22.551%
  • J.J. McCarthy Interceptions Thrown 1+51%
  • Malik Nabers Total Receptions 6+51%
  • Isaiah Likely Total Receptions 5+51%
  • Chig Okonkwo Total Receiving Yards 20+51%
  • Austin Ekeler Total Rushing Yards 15+51%
  • Washington Commanders Total Points Under 20.550%
  • Isaiah Likely Total Receiving Yards 30+50%
  • Antonio Williams Total Receiving Yards 25+50%
  • Devin Singletary Total Rushing Yards 15+50%
  • 2nd Half Over 20.549%
  • 1st Half Under 20.549%
  • Jayden Daniels Total Passing Touchdowns 1+49%
  • Jayden Daniels Total Pass Completions 20+49%
  • Stefon Diggs Total Receiving Yards 25+49%
  • Austin Ekeler Total Rushing Attempts Over 7.549%
  • 1st Half Over 20.548%
  • Antonio Williams Total Receptions 3+48%
  • Devin Singletary Total Receiving Yards 10+48%
  • Malachi Fields Total Receiving Yards 25+48%
  • Rachaad White Total Rushing Yards 25+48%
  • Rachaad White Total Rushing Attempts Over 10.547%
  • Washington Commanders Total Points Over 20.546%
  • Isaiah Likely Total Receptions 4+46%
  • Chig Okonkwo Total Receiving Yards 25+46%
  • Malik Nabers Total Receptions 5+45%
  • Malachi Fields Total Receiving Yards 15+45%
  • 2nd Half Under 20.544%
  • 1st Half New York Giants -1.544%
  • 1st Quarter Over 7.544%
  • 1st Half New York Giants44%
  • New York Giants Total Points Over 22.544%
  • Malik Nabers Total Receiving Yards 50+44%
  • Antonio Williams Total Receiving Yards 30+44%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Football. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Football, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Football index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Football Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions