SettledBetween 99.50 and 9.50A day before, traders had a median of 9.50
The last odds before it closed
9.50median
✓ Emmett Johnson: 10+100%▲ 42
Patrick Mahomes: 10+39%▼ 56
Geno Smith: 10+39%▼ 36
✓ Emmett Johnson: 15+39%▲ 56
Patrick Mahomes: 15+39%▼ 42
Geno Smith: 15+39%▼ 24
✓ Emmett Johnson: 20+39%▲ 69
Patrick Mahomes: 20+39%▼ 31
Geno Smith: 20+39%▼ 16
✓ Emmett Johnson: 25+39%▲ 77
Patrick Mahomes: 25+39%▼ 21
Geno Smith: 25+39%▼ 9
23 more
✓ Emmett Johnson: 30+39%▲ 82
Patrick Mahomes: 30+39%▼ 17
Geno Smith: 30+39%▼ 7
Emmett Johnson: 40+39%▼ 10
Patrick Mahomes: 40+39%▼ 8
Geno Smith: 40+39%▼ 4
Emmett Johnson: 50+39%▼ 6
✓ Kenneth Walker III: 50+39%▲ 12
Patrick Mahomes: 50+39%▼ 4
Emmett Johnson: 60+39%▼ 5
✓ Kenneth Walker III: 60+39%▲ 18
✓ Kenneth Walker III: 70+39%▲ 28
✓ Kenneth Walker III: 80+39%▲ 38
✓ Kenneth Walker III: 90+39%▲ 47
✓ Kenneth Walker III: 100+39%▲ 56
Kenneth Walker III: 110+1%▼ 32
Kenneth Walker III: 120+1%▼ 25
Kenneth Walker III: 130+1%▼ 18
Kenneth Walker III: 140+1%▼ 14
Kenneth Walker III: 150+1%▼ 10
Kenneth Walker III: 160+1%▼ 7
Kenneth Walker III: 170+1%▼ 5
Kenneth Walker III: 180+1%▼ 4
How the odds have moved
Median: 9.50 on Nov 6, 9.50 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Last odds
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Emmett Johnson: 10+
100%
65.5K
✗ Patrick Mahomes: 10+
39%
4.5K
✗ Geno Smith: 10+
39%
3.4K
✓ Emmett Johnson: 15+
39%
45.4K
✗ Patrick Mahomes: 15+
39%
4.8K
✗ Geno Smith: 15+
39%
4.4K
✓ Emmett Johnson: 20+
39%
21.2K
✗ Patrick Mahomes: 20+
39%
2.5K
✗ Geno Smith: 20+
39%
1.8K
✓ Emmett Johnson: 25+
39%
13.2K
✗ Patrick Mahomes: 25+
39%
4.2K
✗ Geno Smith: 25+
39%
2.0K
✓ Emmett Johnson: 30+
39%
13.4K
✗ Patrick Mahomes: 30+
39%
1.5K
✗ Geno Smith: 30+
39%
1.6K
✗ Emmett Johnson: 40+
39%
5.8K
✗ Patrick Mahomes: 40+
39%
1.6K
✗ Geno Smith: 40+
39%
1.7K
✗ Emmett Johnson: 50+
39%
5.7K
✓ Kenneth Walker III: 50+
39%
37.2K
✗ Patrick Mahomes: 50+
39%
2.7K
✗ Emmett Johnson: 60+
39%
2.6K
✓ Kenneth Walker III: 60+
39%
33.2K
✓ Kenneth Walker III: 70+
39%
37.3K
✓ Kenneth Walker III: 80+
39%
13.5K
✓ Kenneth Walker III: 90+
39%
71.2K
✓ Kenneth Walker III: 100+
39%
23.1K
✗ Kenneth Walker III: 110+
1%
7.9K
✗ Kenneth Walker III: 120+
1%
8.4K
✗ Kenneth Walker III: 130+
1%
5.0K
✗ Kenneth Walker III: 140+
1%
3.5K
✗ Kenneth Walker III: 150+
1%
2.7K
✗ Kenneth Walker III: 160+
1%
2.0K
✗ Kenneth Walker III: 170+
1%
1.5K
✗ Kenneth Walker III: 180+
1%
1.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Football. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Football, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Football index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Football Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions