Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Nov 9, 11 PM ETJaxon Smith-Njigba: 14% → 44%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
Oct 28, 11 PM ETJaxon Smith-Njigba: 16% → 22%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
Oct 20, 11 PM ETJaxon Smith-Njigba: 30% → 13%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
43%
▲ 28
24¢
63¢
$1.60
$13.8K
Trey McBride
35%
▲ 23
17¢
54¢
$1.87
$14.2K
CeeDee Lamb
22%
▲ 5
3¢
40¢
$2.50
$3.4K
Amon-Ra St. Brown
9%
▲ 4
4¢
15¢
$6.80
$1.7K
Puka Nacua
7%
▼ 4
5¢
10¢
$10.20
$10.3K
Ja'Marr Chase
5%
5¢
6¢
$16.67
$2K
Malik Nabers
2%
1¢
3¢
$30.30
$542
Emeka Egbuka
2%
1¢
2¢
$41.67
$389
Drake London
1%
0¢
3¢
$37.04
$58
Justin Jefferson
1%
0¢
2¢
$47.62
$934
Garrett Wilson
1%
0¢
2¢
$43.48
$117
George Pickens
1%
0¢
2¢
$47.62
$137
A.J. Brown
1%
1¢
1¢
$76.92
$218
Brock Bowers
1%
0¢
2¢
$52.63
$357
Chris Olave
1%
0¢
2¢
$58.82
$504
Carnell Tate
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$283
KC Concepcion
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$619
Rashee Rice
<1%
0¢
1¢
$326
Jordyn Tyson
<1%
0¢
0¢
$299
Nico Collins
<1%
0¢
0¢
$959
Devonta Smith
<1%
0¢
$966
Zay Flowers
<1%
0¢
$1K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Pro Football, Receptions Leader, Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Football. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Football, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Football index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Football Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions