Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 26, 11 PM ETC.J. Stroud: 68% → 82%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
C.J. Stroud
89%
▲ 34
87¢
91¢
$1.10
$2.4K
Joe Burrow
87%
▼ 2
85¢
88¢
$1.14
$1.3K
Jordan Love
86%
▼ 1
84¢
88¢
$1.14
$1.4K
Matthew Stafford
84%
▼ 1
80¢
87¢
$1.15
$1.2K
Josh Allen
82%
▲ 1
81¢
82¢
$1.22
$877
Jared Goff
81%
72¢
90¢
$1.11
$1.5K
Tyler Shough
81%
▼ 1
80¢
81¢
$1.23
$991
Dak Prescott
80%
▲ 10
77¢
83¢
$1.20
$2.4K
Brock Purdy
80%
▼ 9
79¢
81¢
$1.23
$2.9K
Drake Maye
78%
▲ 4
76¢
79¢
$1.27
$2.1K
Trevor Lawrence
77%
▲ 1
76¢
78¢
$1.28
$3.8K
Bryce Young
74%
▼ 5
72¢
76¢
$1.32
$3.6K
Caleb Williams
61%
▲ 23
34¢
88¢
$1.14
$731
Patrick Mahomes
48%
▼ 5
13¢
83¢
$1.20
$1.2K
Bo Nix
35%
34¢
35¢
$2.86
$2.9K
Justin Herbert
30%
18¢
41¢
$2.44
$1.8K
Sam Darnold
24%
▲ 2
13¢
34¢
$2.94
$1.5K
Cameron Ward
23%
22¢
24¢
$4.17
$3.2K
Malik Willis
16%
▼ 2
1¢
30¢
$3.29
$1.5K
Jayden Daniels
14%
▲ 9
11¢
18¢
$5.56
$1.2K
Baker Mayfield
8%
▼ 2
4¢
11¢
$9.09
$520
Jalen Hurts
4%
3¢
4¢
$23.26
$5.2K
Lamar Jackson
3%
3¢
4¢
$27.03
$7.8K
Fernando Mendoza
2%
0¢
4¢
$22.73
$403
Jaxson Dart
1%
0¢
1¢
$90.91
$1.3K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Pro Football, Passing Yards, C.J. Stroud
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Football. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Football, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Football index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Football Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions