Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Nov 8, 11 PM ETJahmyr Gibbs: 90% → 82%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Jahmyr Gibbs
94%
▲ 7
92¢
95¢
$1.05
$879
Bijan Robinson
92%
91¢
93¢
$1.08
$2.2K
Kenneth Walker III
91%
89¢
93¢
$1.08
$2.4K
Derrick Henry
88%
▼ 1
86¢
90¢
$1.12
$571
Jonathan Taylor
88%
▲ 1
85¢
90¢
$1.11
$913
Jaylen Warren
88%
▲ 4
86¢
89¢
$1.12
$2.4K
Bucky Irving
88%
▼ 5
85¢
90¢
$1.11
$2.7K
James Cook
87%
▼ 2
84¢
89¢
$1.12
$1.7K
Javonte Williams
79%
▲ 7
76¢
82¢
$1.22
$8.3K
Chuba Hubbard
77%
▲ 23
75¢
78¢
$1.28
$3.3K
Tony Pollard
77%
▲ 2
73¢
80¢
$1.25
$4.9K
Kyren Williams
71%
▼ 8
70¢
72¢
$1.39
$3.5K
D'Andre Swift
64%
▲ 2
62¢
65¢
$1.54
$2.6K
Christian McCaffrey
40%
▲ 3
39¢
41¢
$2.44
$6.4K
Aaron Jones
26%
▼ 5
23¢
28¢
$3.57
$5.3K
Chase Brown
25%
▲ 1
23¢
26¢
$3.85
$6.1K
Cameron Skattebo
19%
▼ 7
17¢
21¢
$4.76
$10.2K
Rhamondre Stevenson
17%
▼ 19
16¢
19¢
$5.18
$1.2K
Saquon Barkley
14%
▼ 1
11¢
18¢
$5.56
$2.6K
Quinshon Judkins
11%
▼ 6
10¢
11¢
$9.09
$1.3K
Kenneth Gainwell
9%
▼ 1
7¢
10¢
$10.00
$189
Rachaad White
7%
▲ 1
6¢
8¢
$12.66
$242
David Montgomery
7%
▼ 1
5¢
9¢
$11.36
$2.2K
Breece Hall
7%
▼ 3
5¢
9¢
$11.11
$967
Omarion Hampton
6%
▼ 4
5¢
7¢
$14.29
$3.9K
Ashton Jeanty
5%
▼ 3
3¢
6¢
$16.67
$2.3K
Jadarian Price
4%
3¢
5¢
$21.28
$879
Travis Etienne Jr.
3%
▼ 12
1¢
5¢
$20.00
$324
Rico Dowdle
3%
▼ 25
1¢
4¢
$24.39
$63
Josh Jacobs
2%
1¢
2¢
$41.67
$1.4K
Jeremiyah Love
1%
▼ 1
0¢
3¢
$40.00
$2.4K
De'Von Achane
1%
0¢
2¢
$43.48
$1.2K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Pro Football, Rushing Yards, Jahmyr Gibbs
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Football. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Football, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Football index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Football Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions