Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Polymarket Football › NFL Closes Feb 28, 2027 · $9.6K today · $1.5M traded · $145K at stake · prices read 13 min ago

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The odds

30%Joe Burrow
  • Joe Burrow30%▲ 2
  • Josh Allen22%▼ 3
  • Brock Purdy14%▲ 2
  • Jordan Love13%▲ 1
  • Trevor Lawrence10%▲ 1
  • Caleb Williams3%▼ 2
  • Jaxson Smith-Njigba1%▼ 1
  • Jared Goff1%
  • Justin Herbert1%
  • Drake Maye1%▼ 1
  • Patrick Mahomes1%
  • Jalen Hurts1%
16 more
  • Dak Prescott<1%
  • Jahmyr Gibbs<1%
  • Matthew Stafford<1%
  • Bo Nix<1%
  • Lamar Jackson<1%
  • Christian McCaffrey<1%
  • Jaxson Dart<1%▼ 2
  • Baker Mayfield<1%
  • Saquon Barkley<1%
  • Derrick Henry<1%
  • Sam Darnold<1%
  • De'Von Achane<1%
  • Justin Jefferson<1%
  • Myles Garrett<1%
  • Bijan Robinson<1%
  • Puka Nacua<1%

How the odds have moved

Joe Burrow: 6% on Oct 20, 30% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 25, 11 PM ETJoe Burrow: 5% → 11%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Joe Burrow 30% ▲ 2 30¢ 31¢ $3.25 $52.2K
Josh Allen 22% ▼ 3 21¢ 23¢ $4.35 $75.8K
Brock Purdy 14% ▲ 2 14¢ 15¢ $6.85 $52K
Jordan Love 13% ▲ 1 12¢ 14¢ $7.04 $34.1K
Trevor Lawrence 10% ▲ 1 10¢ 10¢ $10.00 $46.7K
Caleb Williams 3% ▼ 2 2¢ 5¢ $21.28 $163K
Jaxson Smith-Njigba 1% ▼ 1 1¢ 1¢ $76.92 $47.1K
Jared Goff 1% 1¢ 1¢ $71.43 $33.8K
Justin Herbert 1% 1¢ 1¢ $83.33 $87.2K
Drake Maye 1% ▼ 1 1¢ 1¢ $90.91 $39K
Patrick Mahomes 1% 1¢ 1¢ $100.00 $47.7K
Jalen Hurts 1% 1¢ 1¢ $49.4K
Dak Prescott <1% 0¢ 1¢ $46.5K
Jahmyr Gibbs <1% 0¢ 0¢ $25.7K
Matthew Stafford <1% 0¢ 0¢ $29.3K
Bo Nix <1% 0¢ 0¢ $28.7K
Lamar Jackson <1% 0¢ 0¢ $76.4K
Christian McCaffrey <1% 0¢ 0¢ $28.6K
Jaxson Dart <1% ▼ 2 0¢ 0¢ $69.2K
Baker Mayfield <1% 0¢ 0¢ $141K
Saquon Barkley <1% 0¢ $144K
Derrick Henry <1% 0¢ $28.6K
Sam Darnold <1% 0¢ $21.6K
De'Von Achane <1% 0¢ $19.7K
Justin Jefferson <1% 0¢ $22.5K
Myles Garrett <1% 0¢ $23.4K
Bijan Robinson <1% 0¢ $20.4K
Puka Nacua <1% 0¢ $21.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

MVP Winner? (2026-27 season)

32%Joe Burrow
  • Joe Burrow32%▲ 5
  • Josh Allen22%▼ 3
  • Brock Purdy16%▲ 2
  • Jordan Love14%
45 more
  • Trevor Lawrence7%
  • Caleb Williams3%▼ 2
  • Patrick Mahomes1%
  • CJ Stroud1%▲ 1
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba1%
  • Ashton Jeanty<1%
  • Lamar Jackson<1%
  • Jayden Daniels<1%
  • Justin Herbert<1%
  • Jalen Hurts<1%
  • Jared Goff<1%
  • Baker Mayfield<1%
  • Dak Prescott<1%
  • Matthew Stafford<1%
  • Bijan Robinson<1%
  • Kyler Murray<1%
  • Tua Tagovailoa<1%
  • Drake Maye<1%▼ 1
  • Sam Darnold<1%
  • Bryce Young<1%
  • Jonathan Taylor<1%
  • Bo Nix<1%
  • Michael Penix Jr<1%
  • Aaron Rodgers<1%
  • JJ McCarthy<1%
  • Justin Jefferson<1%
  • Ja'Marr Chase<1%
  • Jahmyr Gibbs<1%
  • Saquon Barkley<1%
  • Cam Ward<1%
  • Puka Nacua<1%
  • Christian McCaffrey<1%
  • Myles Garrett<1%
  • Micah Parsons<1%
  • Jaxson Dart<1%
  • Tyler Shough<1%
  • A.J. Brown<1%
  • Josh Jacobs<1%
  • CeeDee Lamb<1%
  • Daniel Jones<1%
  • Tie/Co-Winners<1%
  • Kenneth Walker<1%
  • Derrick Henry<1%
  • Deshaun Watson<1%
  • Kirk Cousins<1%
KalshiCloses Feb 12, 2028 · $46.2K today · $2.3M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: MVP, Pro Football, Joe Burrow

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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  • Malachi Fields Total Receiving Yards 10+52%
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  • J.J. McCarthy Interceptions Thrown 1+51%
  • Malik Nabers Total Receptions 6+51%
  • Isaiah Likely Total Receptions 5+51%
  • Chig Okonkwo Total Receiving Yards 20+51%
  • Austin Ekeler Total Rushing Yards 15+51%
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  • Isaiah Likely Total Receiving Yards 30+50%
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  • Devin Singletary Total Rushing Yards 15+50%
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  • Malachi Fields Total Receiving Yards 25+48%
  • Rachaad White Total Rushing Yards 25+48%
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  • Isaiah Likely Total Receptions 4+46%
  • Chig Okonkwo Total Receiving Yards 25+46%
  • Malik Nabers Total Receptions 5+45%
  • Malachi Fields Total Receiving Yards 15+45%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Football. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Football, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Football index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Football Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions