MVP Winner? (2026-27 season)

Kalshi Football › NFL Closes Feb 12, 2028 · $46.2K today · $2.3M traded · $1.7M at stake · prices read 9 min ago

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The odds

32%Joe Burrow
  • Joe Burrow32%▲ 5
  • Josh Allen22%▼ 3
  • Brock Purdy16%▲ 2
  • Jordan Love14%
  • Trevor Lawrence7%
  • Caleb Williams3%▼ 2
  • Patrick Mahomes1%
  • CJ Stroud1%▲ 1
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba1%
  • Ashton Jeanty<1%
  • Lamar Jackson<1%
  • Jayden Daniels<1%
37 more
  • Justin Herbert<1%
  • Jalen Hurts<1%
  • Jared Goff<1%
  • Baker Mayfield<1%
  • Dak Prescott<1%
  • Matthew Stafford<1%
  • Bijan Robinson<1%
  • Kyler Murray<1%
  • Tua Tagovailoa<1%
  • Drake Maye<1%▼ 1
  • Sam Darnold<1%
  • Bryce Young<1%
  • Jonathan Taylor<1%
  • Bo Nix<1%
  • Michael Penix Jr<1%
  • Aaron Rodgers<1%
  • JJ McCarthy<1%
  • Justin Jefferson<1%
  • Ja'Marr Chase<1%
  • Jahmyr Gibbs<1%
  • Saquon Barkley<1%
  • Cam Ward<1%
  • Puka Nacua<1%
  • Christian McCaffrey<1%
  • Myles Garrett<1%
  • Micah Parsons<1%
  • Jaxson Dart<1%
  • Tyler Shough<1%
  • A.J. Brown<1%
  • Josh Jacobs<1%
  • CeeDee Lamb<1%
  • Daniel Jones<1%
  • Tie/Co-Winners<1%
  • Kenneth Walker<1%
  • Derrick Henry<1%
  • Deshaun Watson<1%
  • Kirk Cousins<1%

How the odds have moved

Joe Burrow: 5% on Oct 20, 32% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Joe Burrow 32% ▲ 5 32¢ 33¢ $3.03 2.0M
Josh Allen 22% ▼ 3 22¢ 23¢ $4.35 1.7M
Brock Purdy 16% ▲ 2 16¢ 17¢ $5.88 1.9M
Jordan Love 14% 14¢ 15¢ $6.67 2.6M
Trevor Lawrence 7% 7¢ 8¢ $12.50 1.5M
Caleb Williams 3% ▼ 2 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 2.4M
Patrick Mahomes 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.7M
CJ Stroud 1% ▲ 1 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.5M
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 2.0M
Ashton Jeanty <1% 1¢ $100.00 20.7K
Lamar Jackson <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.2M
Jayden Daniels <1% 1¢ $100.00 203.5K
Justin Herbert <1% 1¢ $100.00 850.0K
Jalen Hurts <1% 1¢ $100.00 777.2K
Jared Goff <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.4M
Baker Mayfield <1% 1¢ $100.00 334.2K
Dak Prescott <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.7M
Matthew Stafford <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.1M
Bijan Robinson <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.4M
Kyler Murray <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.2M
Tua Tagovailoa <1% 1¢ $100.00 16.1K
Drake Maye <1% ▼ 1 1¢ $100.00 1.9M
Sam Darnold <1% 1¢ $100.00 265.2K
Bryce Young <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.1M
Jonathan Taylor <1% 1¢ $100.00 30.8K
Bo Nix <1% 1¢ $100.00 844.9K
Michael Penix Jr <1% 1¢ $100.00 253.9K
Aaron Rodgers <1% 1¢ $100.00 273.5K
JJ McCarthy <1% 1¢ $100.00 47.5K
Justin Jefferson <1% 1¢ $100.00 23.8K
Ja'Marr Chase <1% 1¢ $100.00 13.7K
Jahmyr Gibbs <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.8M
Saquon Barkley <1% 1¢ $100.00 49.6K
Cam Ward <1% 1¢ $100.00 41.3K
Puka Nacua <1% 1¢ $100.00 15.7K
Christian McCaffrey <1% 1¢ $100.00 76.5K
Myles Garrett <1% 1¢ $100.00 71.5K
Micah Parsons <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.3K
Jaxson Dart <1% 1¢ $100.00 788.5K
Tyler Shough <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.6M
A.J. Brown <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.5K
Josh Jacobs <1% 1¢ $100.00 4.7K
CeeDee Lamb <1% 1¢ $100.00 52.6K
Daniel Jones <1% 1¢ $100.00 324.4K
Tie/Co-Winners <1% 1¢ $100.00 36.8K
Kenneth Walker <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.2M
Derrick Henry <1% 1¢ $100.00 42.6K
Deshaun Watson <1% 1¢ $100.00 22.4K
Kirk Cousins <1% 1¢ $100.00 53.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

30%Joe Burrow
  • Joe Burrow30%▲ 2
  • Josh Allen22%▼ 3
  • Brock Purdy14%▲ 2
  • Jordan Love13%▲ 1
24 more
  • Trevor Lawrence10%▲ 1
  • Caleb Williams3%▼ 2
  • Jaxson Smith-Njigba1%▼ 1
  • Jared Goff1%
  • Justin Herbert1%
  • Drake Maye1%▼ 1
  • Patrick Mahomes1%
  • Jalen Hurts1%
  • Dak Prescott<1%
  • Jahmyr Gibbs<1%
  • Matthew Stafford<1%
  • Bo Nix<1%
  • Lamar Jackson<1%
  • Christian McCaffrey<1%
  • Jaxson Dart<1%▼ 2
  • Baker Mayfield<1%
  • Saquon Barkley<1%
  • Derrick Henry<1%
  • Sam Darnold<1%
  • De'Von Achane<1%
  • Justin Jefferson<1%
  • Myles Garrett<1%
  • Bijan Robinson<1%
  • Puka Nacua<1%
PolymarketCloses Feb 28, 2027 · $9.6K today · $1.5M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: MVP, Joe Burrow, Josh Allen

Search ›

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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  • Under 72.597%
  • Under 67.595%
  • Under 64.593%
230 more
  • Under 63.593%
  • Under 61.591%
  • Under 60.590%
  • Jayden Daniels Total Passing Yards 125+65%
  • Antonio Williams Total Receptions 2+63%
  • Malik Nabers Total Receiving Yards 30+62%
  • Isaiah Likely Total Receiving Yards 20+62%
  • Isaiah Likely Total Receptions 3+61%
  • Chig Okonkwo Total Receiving Yards 15+60%
  • Austin Ekeler Total Rushing Yards 10+60%
  • 1st Quarter Washington Commanders +1.559%
  • Theo Johnson Total Receptions 1+59%
  • Malik Nabers Total Receptions 4+58%
  • Antonio Williams Total Receiving Yards 15+58%
  • Jayden Daniels Total Rushing Yards 15+58%
  • Jayden Daniels Total Passing Yards 150+57%
  • Isaiah Likely Total Receiving Yards 25+56%
  • Antonio Williams Total Receiving Yards 20+56%
  • Stefon Diggs Total Receiving Yards 20+56%
  • Rachaad White Total Rushing Yards 20+55%
  • Antonio Williams Total Receptions 4+54%
  • 1st Quarter Under 7.553%
  • Malik Nabers Total Receiving Yards 40+53%
  • 1st Half Washington Commanders +1.552%
  • Stefon Diggs Total Receptions 3+52%
  • Malachi Fields Total Receiving Yards 10+52%
  • New York Giants Total Points Under 22.551%
  • J.J. McCarthy Interceptions Thrown 1+51%
  • Malik Nabers Total Receptions 6+51%
  • Isaiah Likely Total Receptions 5+51%
  • Chig Okonkwo Total Receiving Yards 20+51%
  • Austin Ekeler Total Rushing Yards 15+51%
  • Washington Commanders Total Points Under 20.550%
  • Isaiah Likely Total Receiving Yards 30+50%
  • Antonio Williams Total Receiving Yards 25+50%
  • Devin Singletary Total Rushing Yards 15+50%
  • 2nd Half Over 20.549%
  • 1st Half Under 20.549%
  • Jayden Daniels Total Passing Touchdowns 1+49%
  • Jayden Daniels Total Pass Completions 20+49%
  • Stefon Diggs Total Receiving Yards 25+49%
  • Austin Ekeler Total Rushing Attempts Over 7.549%
  • 1st Half Over 20.548%
  • Antonio Williams Total Receptions 3+48%
  • Devin Singletary Total Receiving Yards 10+48%
  • Malachi Fields Total Receiving Yards 25+48%
  • Rachaad White Total Rushing Yards 25+48%
  • Rachaad White Total Rushing Attempts Over 10.547%
  • Washington Commanders Total Points Over 20.546%
  • Isaiah Likely Total Receptions 4+46%
  • Chig Okonkwo Total Receiving Yards 25+46%
  • Malik Nabers Total Receptions 5+45%
  • Malachi Fields Total Receiving Yards 15+45%
  • 2nd Half Under 20.544%
  • 1st Half New York Giants -1.544%
  • 1st Quarter Over 7.544%
  • 1st Half New York Giants44%
  • New York Giants Total Points Over 22.544%
  • Malik Nabers Total Receiving Yards 50+44%
  • Antonio Williams Total Receiving Yards 30+44%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Football. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Football, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Football index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Football Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions